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AL

Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (ALH)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2025 delivered double‑digit growth and broad-based strength: revenue rose 14% year over year to $437.6M, adjusted EBITDA increased 16% to $110.8M, and adjusted diluted EPS reached $0.28; GAAP diluted EPS was $0.19 .
  • Results beat S&P Global consensus on revenue and EPS: revenue of $437.6M vs. $423.5M*, adjusted EPS $0.28 vs. $0.225*; adjusted EBITDA was near consensus at $110.8M vs. $107.0M* (beats in bold below). Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
  • Management expects Q4 revenue growth to moderate to mid-single digits year over year and flagged a one-time ~$16M non‑cash stock comp charge in Q4 tied to IPO vesting; annual guidance will begin with Q4 reporting for 2026 .
  • Catalysts: deleveraging post‑IPO ($525M paydown; IPO‑adjusted net leverage ~3.1x) and term loan repricing (SOFR+225), implying ~$46M annualized interest savings; product/digital launches (55‑lb stack tumbler, Scan‑Pay‑Wash) underpin volume and mix support .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Strong consolidated growth and margin expansion: revenue +14% YoY to $437.6M; adjusted EBITDA +16% to $110.8M; adjusted EBITDA margin expanded 40 bps to 25.3% .
  • Robust segment performance: North America revenue +14% to $330.7M and segment adj. EBITDA +13% to $95.4M; International revenue +12% to $106.9M and segment adj. EBITDA +9% to $25.7M .
  • Balance sheet reinforcement and cost of capital improvement: $525M post‑IPO debt repayment driving ~3.1x IPO‑adjusted net leverage and ~$46M annualized interest savings; term loan repriced to SOFR+225; credit outlooks upgraded (S&P to B+, Moody’s to positive) .
  • Management quote (strategy and industry resilience): “Commercial laundry is an incredible, vibrant, and growing industry… We have long demonstrated an ability to deliver a best‑in‑class financial profile, strong margins, and solid growth” .

What Went Wrong

  • International margin mixed: Q3 International segment adj. EBITDA margin declined modestly year over year (24.0% vs. 24.7%) due to product/customer mix and early Stax‑X launch dynamics .
  • Tariffs were a headwind: ~$3.5M tariff impact in North America (mostly offset by pricing), indicating ongoing cost pressure despite mitigation .
  • Q4 growth decel: management guided mid‑single‑digit YoY revenue growth in Q4, normalizing after two years of low double‑digit growth, and flagged a ~$16M non‑cash stock comp charge, which will affect GAAP optics (added back in adjusted metrics) .

Financial Results

Consolidated Performance vs. Prior Periods and Estimates

MetricQ3 2024 (YoY base)Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Consensus (Q3 2025)
Revenue ($USD Millions)$384.3 $406.2*$406.2*$437.6 $423.5*
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$(0.04) $0.138*$0.138*$0.19 N/A
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)$0.19 N/AN/A$0.28 $0.225*
Operating Income ($USD Millions)N/A$84.17*$84.17*$85.49 N/A
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$95.9 $107.1*$107.1*$110.8 $107.0*
Net Income ($USD Millions)$(6.3) $24.13*$24.13*$32.9 N/A
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)24.9% 25.61%*25.61%*25.3% N/A
Net Income Margin (%)(1.6)% 5.77%*5.77%*7.5% N/A

Values retrieved from S&P Global*.

Highlights vs. estimates:

  • Revenue: $437.6M vs. $423.5M* — beat.
  • Adjusted EPS: $0.28 vs. $0.225* — beat.
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $110.8M vs. $107.0M* — modest beat.

Segment Breakdown (Q3 2025 vs. Q3 2024)

SegmentQ3 2024 Revenue ($M)Q3 2025 Revenue ($M)YoY %Q3 2024 Segment Adj. EBITDA ($M)Q3 2025 Segment Adj. EBITDA ($M)Margin Q3 2024Margin Q3 2025
North America$289.2 $330.7 +14% $84.2 $95.4 29.1% 28.9%
International$95.1 $106.9 +12% $23.4 $25.7 24.7% 24.0%

KPIs and Balance Sheet

KPIQ3 2025Prior/Reference
IPO‑adjusted net leverage (Net Debt / Adj. EBITDA)~3.1x 4.3x at 9/30 (pre‑IPO adjustment)
Term loan spreadSOFR + 225 bps Potential further 25 bps tightening
Annualized interest savings~$46.0M N/A
Tariff impact (Q3 NA)~$3.5M (mostly offset by pricing) N/A
Scan‑Pay‑Wash transactions>90,000 in ~90 days Launch in Q3

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue Growth YoYQ4 2025N/AMid‑single‑digit growth New directional commentary
One‑time Non‑cash Stock CompQ4 2025N/A~$16M; added back to adjusted metrics New disclosure
Annual Guidance PolicyFY 2026N/ATo be provided with Q4 results New disclosure
CapEx as % of Net RevenueOngoing~3% target reiterated~3% target maintained Maintained
Deleveraging cadenceOngoing0.5–1.0x per year organicallyReaffirmed Maintained
Capital returnsMedium/Long termPotential buybacks/dividendsNear‑term buybacks possible; dividend considered longer term Clarified
Term loan rateOngoingRepricedSOFR+225, potential further 25 bps tightening Improved cost of debt

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q‑2 and Q‑1)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
Digital/IoT initiativesNo public Q1/Q2 transcripts; company was privateScan‑Pay‑Wash launched; >90k transactions; focus on data/analytics over near‑term SaaS dollars Building momentum
Supply chainNot publicly disclosedNo meaningful issues; adequate inventory and alternate sourcing; steady readiness Stable
Tariffs/macroNot publicly disclosed~$3.5M tariff impact in NA; competitor pricing responses limited to date; pricing actions offset costs Manageable via pricing
Product performanceNot publicly disclosed55‑lb stack tumbler; Stax‑X regional launch (Thailand); strong CIH demand with long lead times Positive mix tailwinds
Regional trendsNot publicly disclosedDouble‑digit growth in Europe/APAC; LATAM vended strength; MEA timing variability (Saudi) Broad‑based strength with pockets of lumpiness
Balance sheet/ratingsNot publicly disclosedIPO; $525M paydown; leverage ~3.1x; S&P upgrade to B+ positive; Moody’s positive outlook Strengthening
Capital allocationNot publicly disclosedFocus on deleveraging; selective tuck‑ins; potential buybacks, dividend later Disciplined, shareholder‑friendly

Management Commentary

  • CEO perspective on industry resilience: “Commercial laundry is an incredible, vibrant, and growing industry… We have long demonstrated an ability to deliver a best‑in‑class financial profile, strong margins, and solid growth” .
  • On pricing and tariffs: “We did announce price increases in Q3, and there are some smaller ones that take place in Q4… meant to offset our cost increases, primarily related to tariffs” .
  • On digital focus: “We’re more focused on the analytics… several hundred thousand [connected machines] out there… ScanPayWash… over 90,000 transactions [in ~90 days]… early days” .
  • On Q4 normalization: “This is two years of consecutive double‑digit growth… it is really just reverting to a more normalized growth rate… strongest quarter comp” .
  • On CIH demand: “Demand is extraordinary… if you wanted to order a product today, you would be waiting” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Tariffs and competitive dynamics: Limited observed competitor pricing changes; ALH implemented price increases to offset Section 232 tariff impacts; management does not anticipate price givebacks even if tariffs ease .
  • International margins: Temporary dilution from customer/product mix and early product launch; long‑term parity with NA maintained; year‑to‑date international margin improved >100 bps .
  • Capital allocation and deleveraging: Target organic deleveraging of 0.5–1.0x per year; flexibility for buybacks near term and potential dividends longer term .
  • Digital/data strategy: Emphasis on connected fleet data/analytics; Scan‑Pay‑Wash traction; insights platform supports multi‑site operators’ revenue optimization .
  • Q4 outlook: Mid‑single‑digit YoY revenue growth; one‑time ~$16M non‑cash charge; visibility into demand steady, culture of conservatism in setting expectations .

Estimates Context

Metric (Q3 2025)ActualConsensusSurprise
Revenue ($USD Millions)$437.6 $423.5*+$14.1M (beat)
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$110.8 $107.0*+$3.8M (beat)
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)$0.28 $0.225*+$0.055 (beat)

Values retrieved from S&P Global*. Note: GAAP diluted EPS was $0.19 ; S&P “Primary EPS” tracks normalized/adjusted EPS for estimate comparisons.

Where estimates may adjust:

  • Upward revisions to FY 2025 adjusted EPS/EBITDA given Q3 beats and lower interest run‑rate (~$46M annualized savings), partly offset by Q4 normalization and ~$16M non‑cash IPO charge added back in adjusted metrics .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Broad‑based demand across Vended, OPL, and CIH, plus pricing actions, drove robust growth and margin expansion; tariff headwinds are being actively offset .
  • Balance sheet materially strengthened post‑IPO; deleveraging and repriced term loan lower interest burden, enhancing equity value capture .
  • Product innovation and digital initiatives (Scan‑Pay‑Wash; largest stack tumbler; Stax‑X) support mix, replacement cycles, and recurring revenue opportunities, particularly for multi‑site operators .
  • Near‑term setup: Expect Q4 revenue growth to normalize to mid‑single digits with a one‑time ~$16M non‑cash charge (excluded from adjusted metrics); watch for initial 2026 guidance with Q4 .
  • Trading lens: The combination of beats versus consensus*, deleveraging, and interest savings are positive catalysts; monitor International margin trajectory and tariff developments; pricing actions should sustain profitability .
  • Medium‑term thesis: Durable end‑market fundamentals, scale advantages, local‑for‑local manufacturing insulating tariffs, and disciplined capital allocation (tuck‑ins, potential buybacks/dividends) underpin sustained high‑20s EBITDA margins and cash generation .

Values retrieved from S&P Global* where indicated.